The goal of the 2022 invasion—the military and political subjugation of all of Ukraine—is not achievable, meaning Putin has already failed. It is an open question whether his government could sustain a ceasefire that would effectively acknowledge such an outcome. But it is almost certain that he would not be able to politically survive a scenario in which he loses control of Crimea.
How Ukraine's "active defense" drove Moscow into a trap
Gagauzia sits between Russian influence and Turkish soft power as Moldova’s EU turn raises fears of a “second Transnistria”
The economic blow has begun to act in Russia
Global Youth Biodiversity Network connecting Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, North Macedonia and Serbia
The ousting of Ma Xingrui – the third Politburo member in recent years - suggests Xi’s tolerance of dissent is diminishing, say analysts
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Kyiv suffered heavy Russian strikes ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara. Experts say Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to send a message.
Silence of the authorities
