Panic as a weapon of the Kremlin
The Russian far-right movement “Russo-Slavic Unification and Revival”, known by the abbreviated name “Rusov”, maintains ties to political and far-right circles in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, while individuals affiliated with this organization participated in the war in Ukraine.
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The goal of the 2022 invasion—the military and political subjugation of all of Ukraine—is not achievable, meaning Putin has already failed. It is an open question whether his government could sustain a ceasefire that would effectively acknowledge such an outcome. But it is almost certain that he would not be able to politically survive a scenario in which he loses control of Crimea.
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Gagauzia sits between Russian influence and Turkish soft power as Moldova’s EU turn raises fears of a “second Transnistria”
The economic blow has begun to act in Russia
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Kyiv suffered heavy Russian strikes ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara. Experts say Russian President Vladimir Putin is trying to send a message.