02.04.2025.

How the war in Ukraine is seen in other countries

Agreement, hybridity, European awakening and Chinese character
Well, the active diplomacy of recent months (meaning expectations from the initiative of the Trump administration) against the background of no less active military operations on the Russian-Ukrainian front, has proven that it is impossible to find Atlanta that would hold the situation on its shoulders. If only because the "guarantors of reality" at the same time want to be those who currently have a different idea of \u200b\u200breality. As a reference point for further movement, which will determine the perspective of what is happening - that is why it is so important to move.
Russia responded to all the US-Europe-Ukraine negotiation initiatives and the sequence "temporary ceasefire-permanent ceasefire-movement towards peace as a political solution" by rejecting such foundations - and put forward a whole long list of political demands. Moreover, Putin put forward an indecent proposal for international UN control in Ukraine for the elections, thereby hinting at the development of a scenario in the Russian Federation for the creation of chaos and internal destabilization in Ukraine. Based, perhaps, on the fact that Ukraine will be weaker and more vulnerable, it will be easier for it to push its unilateral demands.
Trump is finally starting to realize that his business approach to ending the war - a deal - is not possible, at least in the announced speed mode (in his inaugural speech he said that he would do everything quickly), because everything is much more complicated than initially imagined. Economic guarantees (the agreement with Ukraine, which is still being negotiated) make sense, but only as a balanced proposal (without exaggeration) and as a holistic approach in combination with the security mechanisms that are currently being developed within various European coalitions. The question arises as to what Trump's current plan is - not only as a response to the obvious "hybridity" of the Russian Federation, but also in terms of cooperation with Europe in various areas.
Europe, emerging from decades of sleepy peaceful life, is gradually forming a long-term defense vision of the region and economic competitiveness, which is correct. Together with Ukraine. Various proposals are being considered for the configuration of the participation of European countries plus countries of the region (Turkey, for example) in order to guarantee security in certain directions. Sea and sky, first of all, because here they are tools in the field of decisiveness and real possibilities (unlike on land, where much rests on the demarcation line) - to strengthen, for example, the defense of the sky on the eastern
and southern flanks of the Western alliances. But there is a question of pace and speed, and what will happen at this point.
For now, as before, China is waiting, occasionally making statements to Europe - an offer to strengthen cooperation against the backdrop of the cooling of US-European relations. Cooperation between the countries of the region is also beginning to be restored - for the first time in the last five years, representatives of China, Japan and South Korea held meetings on the topic of economics. But, in general, Beijing is probably watching how the topic of the American agreement will end - not only in relation to Russia and Ukraine, but also in relation to Europe and other continents. In conclusion, we can state that no steps (whether military, political-diplomatic or legal) can immediately stop the war. Moreover, at this stage we are still at the approach stage: how to make the negotiation process work. On the bright side, many are going through self-determination (interests plus values), which is the basis for long-term peace, because it creates a balance in different regions.